Anomaly

Your smart no bullsh*t friend keeping you up to date in the world of prediction markets

Latest

The Federal Reserve Just Validated Prediction Markets

Feb 19, 2026

The Fed published a paper calling Kalshi a benchmark for macro markets. Wall Street ETFs are filing. The NYSE President is paying attention. This is mainstream acceptance.

Kalshi Just Lost Nevada — And Now the CFTC Is Declaring War on Every State That Disagrees

Feb 18, 2026

The 9th Circuit denied Kalshi's motion for an administrative stay, Nevada filed suit to block operations, and the CFTC declared exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets.

Prediction Markets Face a Regulatory Reckoning

Feb 17, 2026

A landmark Nevada vs. Kalshi ruling, a CFTC op-ed, and New Zealand's ban mark a turning point for the prediction markets industry.

CFTC Stacks Innovation Committee With Polymarket, Kalshi, CME, and Nasdaq CEOs

Feb 16, 2026

Plus: Vitalik Buterin slams "dopamine-driven" prediction markets, and Bitcoin's surge above $70k shifts Fed rate cut odds

What does insider trading mean in the world of prediction markets?

Feb 13, 2026

The first "Insider Trading" charges in prediction markets have been served this week. At the same time, Kalshi's CEO struggles to define what insider trading is within prediction markets.