Your smart no bullsh*t friend keeping you up to date in the world of prediction markets
Feb 18, 2026
The 9th Circuit denied Kalshi's motion for an administrative stay, Nevada filed suit to block operations, and the CFTC declared exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets.
Feb 17, 2026
A landmark Nevada vs. Kalshi ruling, a CFTC op-ed, and New Zealand's ban mark a turning point for the prediction markets industry.
Feb 16, 2026
Plus: Vitalik Buterin slams "dopamine-driven" prediction markets, and Bitcoin's surge above $70k shifts Fed rate cut odds
Feb 13, 2026
The first "Insider Trading" charges in prediction markets have been served this week. At the same time, Kalshi's CEO struggles to define what insider trading is within prediction markets.
Feb 12, 2026
As much as it annoys me, sportsbooks are making moves in the world of prediction markets. But, I'm hoping that this eventually leads to practical applications of prediction markets.